UBS identifies a profound shift in wealth as younger, female, and openly queer inheritors emerge

Pascal Mora/Bloomberg

The transfer of an estimated $124 trillion over the next two to three decades from older generations to their successors is poised to redefine the landscape of significant wealth. This colossal intergenerational shift, often termed the Great Wealth Transfer, is not merely about the movement of capital; it signals a demographic transformation among those who will control these fortunes. UBS modeling projects that approximately $80 trillion of this wealth will change hands within the next two decades alone, indicating a rapid evolution in the profiles of affluent individuals.

Paul Donovan, an economist at UBS, observed that the demographic characteristics of these inheriting generations diverge significantly from those of their predecessors. He specifically noted that future wealth holders will be younger, increasingly female, and more openly queer. This observation is supported by recent research from Gallup, which illustrates a widening generational gap in LGBTQ+ identification. While just 3% of Baby Boomers, individuals currently aged 62 to 80, identify as LGBTQ+, this figure jumps to around 10% for Millennials and a striking 23% for Gen Z, those aged 14 to 29. Donovan further estimates that approximately 20% of the inheriting generation, primarily Gen X, are either openly queer themselves or have openly queer children, a statistic that underscores the growing visibility and influence of this demographic.

The increasing financial power of women also forms a critical component of this evolving wealth dynamic. The UBS 2024 Wealth Report highlights that $9 trillion of wealth will be transferred horizontally, or intra-generationally, between spouses. This particular transfer mechanism favors women due to prevailing demographic patterns. American women, for instance, have an average life expectancy of 80.2 years, compared to 74.8 years for men. This difference means wives are statistically more likely to outlive their husbands. Furthermore, Census Bureau data indicates that women typically marry at a younger age than men, with the average age for first marriage being around 28 for women and just over 30 for men. These combined factors frequently place wives in a position to inherit marital wealth.

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This demographic shift carries substantial implications for financial advisors and wealth managers. Donovan points out that while many LGBTQ+ investors might assert their financial needs are no different, the persistence of prejudice in society necessitates particular considerations. For example, LGBTQ+ employees, despite legal protections in many regions, face a higher risk of job loss compared to their heterosexual counterparts, potentially requiring greater financial liquidity. Research from the Williams Institute at UCLA in 2024 revealed that nearly half of LGBTQ+ employees surveyed had experienced discrimination or harassment in the workplace, including being fired, not hired, or verbally abused.

Beyond employment, legal complexities also influence financial planning for queer investors. While same-sex marriage is recognized in much of the Western world, including the U.S., U.K., and Canada, many countries in the Middle East and Africa do not afford similar legal recognition or outright prohibit it. This disparity creates significant challenges in areas such as inheritance laws and parental rights, demanding careful and specialized financial planning. Donovan stressed that “legacy investing is also different” for queer investors, extending beyond philanthropic preferences to encompass the intricate legal frameworks governing inheritance in various jurisdictions.

The new generation of wealth holders, regardless of gender or sexual orientation, appears to be increasingly driven by a desire for investments aligned with social purpose. A 2023 Morgan Stanley study found a notable demand for investment products and strategies focused on equity and inclusion. This demand is particularly strong among younger demographics, with 67% of Gen Z and 56% of Millennials expressing interest. Among LGBTQ+ investors, this figure rises to 86%, and even heterosexual investors with an LGBTQ+ household member show a high interest at 76%. Similarly, women are increasingly central to discussions surrounding philanthropy. Observations from impact investing suggest that single women often contribute a higher percentage of their assets to a more diverse range of causes compared to their male counterparts, who tend to concentrate their giving within a narrower set of funds. These evolving priorities signal a future where investment strategies may increasingly reflect the social values of a more diverse and purpose-driven wealthy class.

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Staff Report

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